TURKEY has experienced similar processes in two major migration movements in the recent past.
The first were the compatriots who were forcibly displaced from Bulgaria; Due to their Turkish origin and having relatives, they quickly dissolved in the society.
The second is Saddam They were those who fled from Iraq during the period.
After the Halabja massacre, the surface of the mountains on the Turkish border was adorned with people.
As a matter of fact, when the problem of refugees, which started in 1988 and caused tens of thousands of people to gather on the Turkish border in 1991, could not be overcome with the Ankara-Baghdad talks, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) stepped in; Under his supervision, a return became possible.
After that, the Hammer Power operation started.
At that time, they could have been allowed to go on their own under the general amnesty declared by Baghdad, but no one wanted to be the contractor of any problem that might happen to them there.
Assad IS NOT GOING…
It should not be forgotten that a similar situation is also valid in the Syrian field today.
It should not be thought that a political contact with the Damascus administration will facilitate the return of refugees in Turkey.
There is no such world…
Also, yesterday the Minister of Foreign Affairs Cavusoglu’As announced by the President of the Republic of Turkey, at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization meeting to be held in Uzbekistan. Erdogan with Assad‘s meeting is out of question; Assad And it’s not going to the top.
FIELD FACTS
Despite all this, it is a well-known fact that Ankara wants to take the ongoing contact, which was previously carried out by the soldiers and lately the intelligence agencies, to the next level, to the diplomatic level.
The USA has wanted this for a long time as much as Russia; perhaps one of the rare issues on the field where two great powers are in common…
However, it is in question that this will be at the level of Deputy Foreign Ministers at the first stage.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs also takes care that this contact does not overshadow the Syrian official opposition.
These are the diplomatic side of things…
There is also the realities of the field.
Like that, “Let the Syrians go…” Everyone should see that it is not possible to get them to leave by shouting slogans.
Those who chant these slogans should take the responsibility of the heavy burden that this issue will create as this issue is brought to the ground of election propaganda.
SEEKING A THIRD COUNTRY
He spent years on the subject, IGAM President Metin Socks While chatting with him yesterday, he made the following determination and asked an important question:
“We made the biggest mistake by making the mistake of opening the doors in 2020, not sending the refugees. Turkey’s military there is also protecting 500,000 Syrians who have returned to their homeland and invested. Who will be the guarantor of these?”
So once upon a time SaddamGeneral amnesty by itself, as it did in the Baghdad administration, is not enough to resolve the issue.
That’s why Turkey needs to talk about what it will do for those who don’t want to go, together with the voluntary return.
“We put them on trucks and send them” It is also impossible to say…
SocksAccording to the determination of , the biggest concern of asylum seekers is only Assad and not that they will be forcibly returned.
Fear that in case of a change in power, it will be difficult for them to live in Turkey.
Because the rhetoric developed by ultra-nationalist parties was embraced by the centrist parties, just as in the examples that contributed to the rise of Le Pen in France; This led to their rise.
For this reason, the number of people who want to go to a third country has started to increase significantly.
This shows that a new refugee crisis is waiting at the door with neighbors, especially Greece, in the near future.
CITIZENSHIP ONE NOT GIVEN FOR YEARS
Claims about citizenship are also unrealistic according to the statements of official figures.
Socks’According to the real data of Refugee Organizations based on refugee organizations, 1.5 million people have not been naturalized, the last one was a year ago, and they have not been granted citizenship for the past 12 months.
Having done academic studies on migration for years, Prof. Dr. Murat Erdogan‘s determination is no different.
About to launch a new Syrian Barometer, Prof. Dr. Erdogan, He made the following important finding yesterday:
“People yearn for the land where they were born and grew up after a while and want to go back. But when he doesn’t see what his future will be in Syria in 10 years, he is afraid to go back. Also, no one talks about what will happen if there is no agreement with Assad…”
THERE IS NO ONE FORMULA FOR THE SOLUTION
The issue does not end here, there is also a security dimension.
Known for his work on Russia and security, one of the most active powers in the region, Prof. Dr. Mitat Celikpala‘s statement in our conversation yesterday actually reflects the nature of the business:
“Assad looks at me as if I have gotten rid of those who are against him, who are giving him a headache. Also, there is no way that a structure where everyone is forgiven exists in Syria. Maybe the Donors Conference will be held, provided that they lay down arms in return for aid to Syria. But there are no guarantees either…”
In fact, no matter what anyone says, there is neither a structure nor a single formula to quickly solve the problem of refugees, commonly referred to as Syrians.
Even if you are bros with Damascus and liver, it will take years to resolve this issue…